← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Fire AggroTier 2
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.9%
avg ELO -3.2 per match
expected value
48.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1272
· median 1272
· range 1056–1488
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1185
Q3 1366
1489
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Water Genbu | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 15.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.3% | -17.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
